Statistics and Models


Since the early days of the Presidents COVID-19 Task Force, I’ve had a lot of questions of the statistics that are presented during these daily briefings. I’m not implying that I disbelieve them but they’re not presenting the complete story and what’s interesting is that I have never heard one reporter ask about any details within those numbers. I use this site for quick updates about the number of confirmed cases, etc. As of this writing, there are 586,941 confirmed cases of COVID-19 with 23,640 deaths. A lot of mortality and note that that number is a lagging indicator: expect it to go higher, somewhat, before it slows down or even stops. But that’s one number I don’t want to talk about right now.

Continue reading

What Do You Actually Believe?


Recently, I came across one of those online surveys (I’m not sure what else to call it) that after answering a series of questions, places the respondent into a certain political category. We’ve all seen these before, where at the end the person, based on their answers, are rated as liberal or conservative, authoritarian or libertarian.  the questions themselves are innocuous enough, very straightforward, as to what the person thinks/believes in several different areas. I was intrigued, as a conservative, where I would place on their scale.

Continue reading